An important element on the cost side which determines the profitability of electricity generation is the allocation of free emission allowances for carbon dioxide and other gases and substances in a given settlement period. Receiving a free allocation of CO2 emission is a condition for the implementation of dedicated investments in Enea Group submitted to the National Investment Plan (NIP). The value of actual expenses incurred is the basis for receiving allowances.
In 2017, work was carried out on the possibility of using the unallocated allowances due to lower investments than planned. The Ministry of the Environment conducts talks with the EC on extending the list of investment tasks, closed in 2012, to include new projects in the area of renewable energy sources, low-carbon investments, energy efficiency investments, investments in transmission or heating networks.
In 2017, the rules of functioning of Phase IV of the EU ETS, starting from 2021, were also established. The most important changes that may have a significant impact on the market situation include:
- increase of the linear index to 2.2%
- the lack of free allowances for sectors not classified as exposed to the risk of carbon leakage
- doubling of the number of allowances drawn from the auction pool to the reserve for the first 4 years of IAS operation to the level of 24% surplus of allowances
- permanent removal from the market of 800 million allowances from IAS
According to the plan, Poland met the target of selling 85.88 million CO2 emission allowances in 2017. 14.99 million came from allowances not sold in 2016, and 70.89 million was the volume originally planned for sale in 2017. The place of sale of the Polish EUA units is the auction platform of the EEX exchange, with which Poland has again signed an agreement for the sale of emission allowances. Auctions take place every second Wednesday, with EUA 4,857 million being auctioned on each of them, with the exception of the first and last auction, and in August. In 2018, political developments in the EU will be important elements affecting the valuation of CO2 emission allowances, in addition to macroeconomic factors and changes in the prices of energy raw materials and electricity. The negotiations on Brexit and the parliamentary elections in Italy on 4 March will be particularly important for price developments.
Auction date |
Volume |
Auction price [EUR] |
Volume, cummulatively |
% volume, cummulatively |
29 March 2017 |
5 738 500 |
4.71 |
5 738 500 |
7% |
12 April 2017 |
4 857 000 |
4.84 |
10 595 500 |
12% |
26 April 2017 |
4 857 000 |
4.49 |
15 452 500 |
18% |
10 May 2017 |
4 857 000 |
4.49 |
20 309 500 |
24% |
24 May 2017 |
4 857 000 |
4.81 |
25 166 500 |
29% |
7 June 2017 |
4 857 000 |
4.97 |
30 023 500 |
35% |
21 June 2017 |
4 857 000 |
4.95 |
34 880 500 |
41% |
5 July 2017 |
4 857 000 |
5.1 |
39 737 500 |
46% |
19 July 2017 |
4 857 000 |
5.39 |
44 594 500 |
52% |
2 August 2017 |
2 428 500 |
5.29 |
47 023 000 |
55% |
16 August 2017 |
2 428 500 |
5.62 |
49 451 500 |
58% |
30 August 2017 |
2 428 500 |
6.02 |
51 880 000 |
60% |
13 September 2017 |
4 857 000 |
6.95 |
56 737 000 |
66% |
27 September 2017 |
4 857 000 |
6.75 |
61 594 000 |
72% |
11 October 2017 |
4 857 000 |
7.4 |
66 451 000 |
77% |
25 October 2017 |
4 857 000 |
7.41 |
71 308 000 |
83% |
8 November 2017 |
4 857 000 |
7.62 |
76 165 000 |
89% |
22 November 2017 |
4 857 000 |
7.46 |
81 022 000 |
94% |
6 December 2017 |
4 855 000 |
7.38 |
85 877 000 |
100% |